10 September 2017

Just A Liiiiiiiitle Short

Notice the 40 mph wind prediction for right now?

We've got 20 mph.

The models are just a little unable to make predictions.


  1. I can understand them not predicting the winds since they seem to come in squalls, up and down, as the storm progresses. Still, a hurricane's winds are defined as a 1 minute reading so that you count gusts separately. There's a buoy that looks like it's right on the beach at Naples. The highest winds it has reported are:

    4:18 pm NNE 42.9 kts gusts 60.0 kts That's 49.5 mph gusting 69 mph.

    There's a NOAA website where you can track the weather buoy reports. http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/ That particular buoy at Naples is

    The only winds I've seen go over hurricane force were in the Miami area. Srsly. Fowey Rocks, if that means anything to you.

    I have to say I don't understand.

    1. Weather is just so damned complex it's amazing we have the predictive power we do have.

      I'm flabbergasted that it "missed" Miami and they're getting worse weather than Naples where it landed.


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