tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1406088964942152547.post5765674881591893678..comments2024-03-28T15:45:15.991-04:00Comments on The Abode of McThag: The MathsAngus McThaghttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09295013525738248801noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1406088964942152547.post-4347473055880585892021-03-27T17:06:24.726-04:002021-03-27T17:06:24.726-04:00I've said for years (and I think I got the ide...I've said for years (and I think I got the ideas from the late Mike Vanderboegh), the first few guys who get midnight raids will very likely die. Once the word starts to get around that the S has HTF, it's very likely to turn a degree of ugly that the world has never seen before. Someone (Selco?) says Bosnia times Rwanda times 100.<br /><br />Goat herders barely out of the dark ages, and then only in some aspects of their life, held off the Soviet Union and then the US. Once a large number of people realize they're as good as dead - as dead as those first few hit by the 0300 raids - then the attitudes seriously change. While Rawles captures much of this, I think he didn't include much of what's likely to happen so he can't be prosecuted for "suggesting" it by talking about it. <br /><br />Sun Tzu says never attack an enemy at their strongest point. While the doorbusters are lining up the night's raids, people will arrange to return the favor while they're away from home. The long tail of logistics is fragile in places like Afghanistan and Iraq, let alone right next to the homes of people that feel they have nothing to lose. It will be attacked mercilessly. <br /><br />SiGraybeardhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00280583031339062059noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1406088964942152547.post-83941458232191094842021-03-27T12:43:25.702-04:002021-03-27T12:43:25.702-04:00I agree that the numbers are low for gun ownership...I agree that the numbers are low for gun ownership and the number of guns out there. One thing I disagree with in the article though is that the left would not care about things like the Posse Comitatus act. They will ignore or change any laws or rules that get in their way when it comes to subjugating people and stealing their property. I also think it underestimates the number and the resolve of the leftist idealists. I think that it is likely that some of us may see a bloody civil war in our lifetimes. However, even directing the full force of the military on US citizens like I believe the left would be willing to do would not really drastically change things as much as some people believe. Especially because the left has been working to destroy the power of the US military for years and has dramatically stepped up those efforts over the past few years. With what they are doing now, our military will likely be much smaller and much softer and less capable within the next few years. A lot of the most capable soldiers are being drummed out for political reasons right now, and they will be resentful of the government if not outright sympathetic to the resistance to leftist statist oppression in the future. The same thing is happening in police forces as the leftists in the major city departments are purging those who are not their political tools.<br /><br />However all that said, I don't think that things will be over quickly. Things will be messy, ugly, bloody and worse than the US Civil war of the 1860s because there won't be nearly as clear cut divisions. Even back then families were split between sides but it will be much worse now because even "red states" have large enclaves of "blue voters", mostly in large cities, but they can be found even in other areas, in some places large enough numbers to be a problem. The opposite is true. Even in blue $#!+#01$ like California and New York there are as much as 30-40% people who are moderate to conservative.<br /><br />I'm not looking forward to it. I think it is going to be horrible. I think it will be worse than the balkans conflicts. Worse than the mess we are seeing in the middle east. Worse than the US Civil War. But I don't clearly see a way it can be avoided. The left wants it to happen. They have a vision of a Utopian Marxist/Communist future where things are turned upside down and they get revenge on those they blame and hate. Here's the problem. Even if they get what they want, it won't work in the long run. It will turn into a bleak, dismal hell of existence where all but the ruling dictators and their lackeys will live in subsistence and famine and despair.<br />SofwareJanitorhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10511295863793065111noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1406088964942152547.post-59212641658086489942021-03-26T18:24:09.205-04:002021-03-26T18:24:09.205-04:00In my opinion, the numbers given for guns are low;...In my opinion, the numbers given for guns are low; other estimates suggest private gun ownership exceeding 600 million. <br />I think that the number of semi autos is also low.... which makes these numbers look better than they would be in real life. HOWEVER, don't forget that these gents and guns are NOT evenly distributed across the country; in some Liberal areas, these raids will go well - in others, they will never even start. <br /><br />Jonathan Hhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10476185257203343474noreply@blogger.com