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Irma is not doing what she's been predicted to do.
That's very worrisome as the longer a storm on this track takes to "hook" north, the more likely it is that it will hit my AO near Tampa.
Some of us amateurs are getting pretty good at reading the data. It sure looks like Irma is following a trough that will steer her into the gulf, sliding along the length of Cuba, before hooking north at Texas.
Things could and probably will change, but the amateur predictions have been successful in saying it was going to keep tracking W to WSW the past few days where the pros at NOAA didn't.
I know we're using the same data!
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