02 March 2025

Wait I Know This One

There's a LOT of misunderstanding about the Budapest Memorandum.

Despite what President Clinton said, and was reported by the press, and repeated recently: It is not and never was an agreement to defend Ukraine.

The defend Ukraine part is an agreement to have discussions, bring it to the UN and issue sternly worded resolutions in the event that Ukraine is invaded.

All of that happened in 2014 when Russia didn't get their way over a leasing agreement of their navy base in Sevastopol and they invaded and took the Crimean peninsula.

"Treaty" obligations fulfilled!  Done.

Anyone who expected more was an idiot.

Yet more was provided.

The Bidens, I think, are the true architects of the Crimean annexation.  I've no proof, but the kids were thick over there and billions of dollars was sticking to their hands.  Allegedly...

The aid that was being provided, also allegedly, was getting kicked back to "The Big Guy" so the Bidens were getting paid to protect their investment.

But there's almost no US interest in being involved in this.  Except as the Bidens have interfered with shit, allegedly.

Traditionally and historically this sort of thing has been handled with either a "sorry about that" and hanging the nation that was meddled with out to dry OR with a costly war that has the same effect of leaving that nation out to dry.

Almost every argument for continuing to supply Ukraine with the arms it desperately needs by the US boils down to the sunk cost fallacy. 

It's in the US national interest to stop supplying those weapons unless we start getting paid for them.  Well, we all know how that went.

Maybe the UN will help.

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