25 May 2020

No Active Or Recovered

Florida isn't giving numbers for recoveries or active cases.

Just the running total of people who've tested positive.

51,746 at the time of this writing.

If the disease takes 3-weeks to run its course, if we subtract the number of cases from May 4th from the cumulative total we should get an estimate of the active cases.

51,746 - 36,897 = 14,849 active cases at most.  We should also subtract the dead from this...

12,597 at the most.

If it takes two weeks to run then it's:

51,746 - 40,982 - 2,252 = 8,512 active cases.

Since it averages 2-3 weeks then the number of active cases remaining is between 8,512 and 14,849.

People ARE recovering from this.  It's just not being reported much.

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