25 April 2018

Theory Against Reality

Most people know the Monty Hall Problem.

There's lots of ways to express how the math works and that changing your answer improves your odds.

But it doesn't change a niggling practical bit.

If the prize is, indeed, behind Door Number 1 and you picked door number 1...

Changing your answer means you lose.

Improving your odds doesn't guarantee a win.

Try this at a party.  You will see some really pissed off people who lose despite doubling their odds.

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